Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Kunin 46.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 52.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Zary
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Zary
Kunin
Last 10: Zary 5-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
3
1
Zary
Kunin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
4
Zary
Kunin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
47.1% (1,622)
-5.3%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
46.4% (138)
-10.2%
On power play, Kunin has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Home / Away
Zary
Kunin
Home
41.3% (293)
45.5% (1,048)
Away
41.0% (212)
46.4% (1,045)
By Period
Zary
Kunin
P1
40.4%
47.9%
P2
38.6%
45.7%
P3
45.2%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Connor Zary |