Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Kunin 46.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 71.3%
Neutral zone
Zary 51.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Zary
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Zary
Kunin
Last 8: Zary 5-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
3
1
Zary
Kunin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zary
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
48.9% (366)
-3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
34.6% (26)
-34.6%
On power play, Kunin has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Zary is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Zary shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Zary
Kunin
Home
41.9% (62)
45.7% (245)
Away
46.8% (47)
45.5% (235)
By Period
Zary
Kunin
P1
42.9%
46.5%
P2
42.5%
45.0%
P3
47.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
16.7%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Connor Zary |