Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.7% vs Kunin 45.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 69.8%
Defensive zone
Kunin 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 52.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Zary
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Zary
Kunin
Last 10: Zary 5-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
3
1
Zary
Kunin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
4
Zary
Kunin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (425)
46.8% (1,563)
-6.3%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
46.4% (138)
-10.2%
On power play, Kunin has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Zary is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Zary shoots left. Kunin is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,447).
Home / Away
Zary
Kunin
Home
40.6% (283)
45.5% (1,018)
Away
39.0% (200)
46.0% (1,001)
By Period
Zary
Kunin
P1
39.3%
47.4%
P2
36.5%
45.3%
P3
44.7%
44.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.3%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%
Kunin
42.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Connor Zary |