Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Dowd 49.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 82.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 96.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 71.7%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Zary
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
52.2% (835)
-15.6%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
60.0% (10)
-18.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Zary
Dowd
Home
38.8% (152)
51.5% (619)
Away
34.8% (89)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Zary
Dowd
P1
33.3%
51.7%
P2
31.7%
51.6%
P3
47.5%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
32.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Connor Zary |