Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Thomas 51.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 50.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Zary
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zary
Thomas
Last 5: Zary 2-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Zary
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
50.1% (615)
-3.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
62.2% (98)
-30.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Zary
Thomas
Home
45.6% (79)
51.9% (374)
Away
44.7% (76)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Zary
Thomas
P1
48.3%
49.2%
P2
46.3%
55.3%
P3
39.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |