Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Thomas 54.5% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 78.8%
Defensive zone
Zary 55.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 74.7%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Zary
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Zary
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Zary
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Zary
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Zary
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
55.3% (990)
-18.7%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
54.2% (190)
-12.5%
On even strength, Thomas has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Zary
Thomas
Home
38.8% (152)
55.1% (690)
Away
34.8% (89)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Zary
Thomas
P1
33.3%
55.5%
P2
31.7%
56.4%
P3
47.5%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | OT | 01:58 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |