Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Thomas 52.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 66.9%
Defensive zone
Zary 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 58.4%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Zary
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Zary
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Zary
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
53.2% (1,166)
-7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.9% (262)
-56.9%
On power play, Thomas has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zary is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Zary shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Zary
Thomas
Home
41.9% (62)
51.6% (830)
Away
46.8% (47)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Zary
Thomas
P1
42.9%
52.7%
P2
42.5%
55.6%
P3
47.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
16.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |