Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs McLeod 50.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 59.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 55.2%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.9%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Zary
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Zary
McLeod
Last 9: Zary 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Zary
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zary
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
51.3% (628)
-6.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
68.3% (41)
-68.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +68.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Zary
McLeod
Home
41.9% (62)
51.5% (394)
Away
46.8% (47)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Zary
McLeod
P1
42.9%
51.5%
P2
42.5%
47.0%
P3
47.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
16.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
44.0%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Zary |