Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs McLeod 47.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 64.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 66.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.3%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Zary
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Zary
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
49.2% (796)
-2.1%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
44.8% (87)
-13.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Zary
McLeod
Home
45.6% (79)
49.2% (575)
Away
44.7% (76)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Zary
McLeod
P1
48.3%
52.8%
P2
46.3%
45.1%
P3
39.5%
45.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |