Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 43.0%). Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 45.2% vs Kelly 43.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.2%
Result
Conor Geekie favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Geekie
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Geekie
Kelly
Last 6: Geekie 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Geekie
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Geekie
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (167)
44.8% (556)
-1.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
0.0% (2)
+20.0%
On power play, Geekie has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Geekie is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Geekie shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Geekie
Kelly
Home
38.0% (92)
44.8% (368)
Away
47.5% (80)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Geekie
Kelly
P1
42.9%
46.7%
P2
42.4%
48.0%
P3
41.1%
34.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▲
42.0%
42.4%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Conor Geekie |