Scouting Report
Conor Geekie holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.5% vs Kelly 41.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 71.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 67.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 55.9%
Result
Conor Geekie favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Geekie
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Geekie
Kelly
Last 6: Geekie 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Geekie
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Geekie
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (213)
41.9% (756)
+0.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
0.0% (3)
+33.3%
On power play, Geekie has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Geekie is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Geekie shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Geekie
Kelly
Home
38.7% (106)
42.5% (475)
Away
45.1% (113)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Geekie
Kelly
P1
41.1%
42.4%
P2
44.4%
44.7%
P3
39.7%
35.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Conor Geekie |