Scouting Report
Corey Perry holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 50.4% vs Mercer 43.3% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Perry 50.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 63.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 56.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Perry
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (27)
41.0% (212)
+7.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
35.7% (14)
+31.0%
On power play, Perry has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Perry is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Perry shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Perry
Mercer
Home
36.4% (11)
45.2% (126)
Away
59.1% (22)
35.1% (111)
By Period
Perry
Mercer
P1
46.7%
34.5%
P2
54.5%
43.4%
P3
57.1%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
36.0%▲
30.0%
51.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%