Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 44.2% vs Mercer 41.8% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone
Perry 53.4%
Defensive zone
Mercer 63.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Perry
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (20)
38.8% (263)
-8.8%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
35.3% (17)
-24.2%
On power play, Mercer has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Perry is 14.3% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Perry shoots right. Mercer is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Perry
Mercer
Home
18.8% (16)
34.7% (144)
Away
30.8% (13)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Perry
Mercer
P1
18.2%
32.7%
P2
37.5%
42.7%
P3
20.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
0.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
36.0%▲
30.0%
24.1%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%