Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +25.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.2% vs Toews 58.4% (-25.7%)
Offensive zone
Toews 51.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 78.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 57.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Smith
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
58.0% (901)
-24.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Smith is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Smith
Toews
Home
16.7% (6)
59.3% (637)
Away
50.0% (6)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Smith
Toews
P1
16.7%
61.5%
P2
75.0%
55.2%
P3
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%