Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Toews 57.9% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 92.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 95.8%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Smith
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Smith
Toews
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
10
Smith
Toews
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Smith
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
57.2% (13,047)
-16.4%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
63.3% (3,252)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
53.6% (1,810)
-9.2%
On power play, Toews has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Smith
Toews
Home
42.3% (556)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
39.1% (675)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Smith
Toews
P1
39.0%
58.6%
P2
42.1%
57.8%
P3
40.2%
57.3%
OT
75.0%
58.9%
Final 5 min
40.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |