Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.2% vs Zuccarello 47.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zuccarello 62.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.3%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Smith
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
29.4% (17)
41.2% (34)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Smith is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Smith shoots right. Zuccarello is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Smith
Zuccarello
Home
44.4% (9)
35.3% (17)
Away
28.6% (14)
44.4% (18)
By Period
Smith
Zuccarello
P1
33.3%
38.1%
P2
46.2%
40.0%
P3
14.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
34.8%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.0%