Scouting Report
Craig Smith holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Zuccarello 40.7% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.6%
Defensive zone
Zuccarello 63.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.1%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Smith
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
39.5% (435)
+1.3%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
36.1% (61)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
33.3% (21)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Zuccarello is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Smith
Zuccarello
Home
42.3% (556)
38.6% (272)
Away
39.1% (675)
39.2% (245)
By Period
Smith
Zuccarello
P1
39.0%
36.4%
P2
42.1%
36.5%
P3
40.2%
45.2%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.8%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
38.9%