Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-20.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 58.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Smith
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
46.9% (162)
-13.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Smith is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Smith
Duchene
Home
16.7% (6)
58.4% (125)
Away
50.0% (6)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Smith
Duchene
P1
16.7%
56.9%
P2
75.0%
52.5%
P3
0.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%