Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.2% vs Duchene 52.1% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Smith 55.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 71.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Smith
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
29.4% (17)
53.0% (723)
-23.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
49.5% (101)
+0.5%
On even strength, Duchene has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Smith is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Smith shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Smith
Duchene
Home
44.4% (9)
54.9% (408)
Away
28.6% (14)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Smith
Duchene
P1
33.3%
52.5%
P2
46.2%
51.7%
P3
14.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
34.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%