Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-23.3%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 72.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 61.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Smith
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
59.2% (370)
-25.9%
On even strength, Stastny has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Smith is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Smith
Stastny
Home
16.7% (6)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.0% (6)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Smith
Stastny
P1
16.7%
57.7%
P2
75.0%
54.2%
P3
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%