Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Malkin 48.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Lazar
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
47.9% (776)
+0.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (24)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Lazar
Malkin
Home
49.2% (189)
49.6% (405)
Away
48.3% (176)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Lazar
Malkin
P1
50.8%
49.6%
P2
45.2%
47.2%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |