Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Malkin 46.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Lazar
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Lazar
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
45.5% (602)
+5.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (30)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
100.0% (1)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Lazar
Malkin
Home
49.7% (163)
47.5% (326)
Away
52.3% (237)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Lazar
Malkin
P1
46.9%
49.3%
P2
53.3%
44.7%
P3
53.3%
42.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |