Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (61.4% vs 61.4%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Toews 60.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Lazar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Lazar
Toews
Last 7: Lazar 0-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
7
Lazar
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
62.4% (692)
+1.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.3% (135)
-59.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
46.9% (32)
+9.4%
On power play, Toews has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lazar
Toews
Home
63.3% (128)
60.9% (435)
Away
59.3% (118)
61.8% (424)
By Period
Lazar
Toews
P1
64.6%
60.2%
P2
60.5%
65.7%
P3
59.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
68.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |