Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Toews 58.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 56.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 63.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Lazar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lazar
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Lazar
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Lazar
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
58.0% (901)
-6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
69.5% (226)
-69.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
51.7% (209)
-13.9%
On power play, Toews has a +69.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Lazar
Toews
Home
43.5% (131)
59.3% (637)
Away
53.7% (147)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Lazar
Toews
P1
53.8%
61.5%
P2
50.5%
55.2%
P3
41.2%
60.0%
OT
100.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |