Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Toews 61.9% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 68.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 53.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Lazar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Lazar
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
61.1% (650)
-8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
71.9% (192)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
59.6% (99)
-26.3%
On power play, Lazar has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lazar
Toews
Home
57.1% (119)
64.8% (560)
Away
47.1% (153)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Lazar
Toews
P1
53.1%
62.3%
P2
52.2%
63.9%
P3
48.8%
62.8%
Final 5 min
42.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |