Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Glendening 55.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 58.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 83.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 62.3%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Lazar
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Glendening
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Lazar
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
58.3% (725)
-9.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.0% (8)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
48.4% (215)
+1.6%
On even strength, Glendening has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Glendening is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Lazar
Glendening
Home
49.2% (189)
55.4% (469)
Away
48.3% (176)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Lazar
Glendening
P1
50.8%
53.5%
P2
45.2%
57.0%
P3
50.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |