Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Glendening 56.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 66.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 65.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Lazar
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lazar
Glendening
Last 5: Lazar 1-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Lazar
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
3
Lazar
Glendening
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
58.6% (703)
-7.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.9% (19)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
49.7% (159)
-2.5%
On even strength, Glendening has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Lazar
Glendening
Home
49.7% (163)
54.3% (468)
Away
52.3% (237)
60.0% (413)
By Period
Lazar
Glendening
P1
46.9%
58.2%
P2
53.3%
57.6%
P3
53.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |