Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.1%). Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Barron 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 63.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 62.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Lazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lazar
Barron
Last 7: Lazar 6-1 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
52.6% (152)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
45.5% (11)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Barron is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barron
Home
49.7% (163)
46.1% (76)
Away
52.3% (237)
57.5% (87)
By Period
Lazar
Barron
P1
46.9%
63.0%
P2
53.3%
51.0%
P3
53.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |