Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Barron 48.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 88.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 91.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Lazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lazar
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
50.6% (257)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
44.2% (129)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Lazar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Lazar shoots right. Barron is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barron
Home
63.0% (127)
46.8% (201)
Away
51.9% (79)
50.3% (185)
By Period
Lazar
Barron
P1
60.6%
45.7%
P2
59.7%
54.6%
P3
55.6%
44.2%
Final 5 min
67.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Barron
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |