Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Barron 47.1% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 93.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 91.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Lazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lazar
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
48.8% (371)
+15.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
42.0% (174)
+14.3%
On power play, Barron has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Barron is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barron
Home
63.3% (128)
44.9% (283)
Away
59.3% (118)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Lazar
Barron
P1
64.6%
44.8%
P2
60.5%
50.7%
P3
59.0%
43.6%
Final 5 min
68.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |