Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Foligno 49.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 81.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Lazar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
49.0% (261)
+14.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (42)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
47.1% (51)
+9.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Lazar
Foligno
Home
63.3% (128)
48.9% (178)
Away
59.3% (118)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Lazar
Foligno
P1
64.6%
40.4%
P2
60.5%
55.8%
P3
59.0%
51.2%
Final 5 min
68.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |