Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 78.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lazar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lazar
Foligno
Last 9: Lazar 4-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Lazar
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
48.3% (2,810)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
52.3% (730)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
44.0% (455)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Lazar
Foligno
Home
50.1% (1,542)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Lazar
Foligno
P1
48.9%
47.6%
P2
48.9%
50.4%
P3
49.5%
48.3%
OT
56.5%
29.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |