Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 56.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Lazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
50.4% (752)
-1.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
37.0% (27)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
45.3% (159)
+4.7%
On power play, Lazar has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Lazar
Poehling
Home
49.2% (189)
51.2% (467)
Away
48.3% (176)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Lazar
Poehling
P1
50.8%
54.6%
P2
45.2%
46.7%
P3
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
48.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |