Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Poehling 48.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 50.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Lazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lazar
Poehling
Last 8: Lazar 5-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Lazar
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
49.6% (2,780)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
51.6% (93)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
41.7% (635)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Lazar
Poehling
Home
50.1% (1,549)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Lazar
Poehling
P1
48.9%
50.8%
P2
48.9%
47.1%
P3
49.5%
47.2%
OT
56.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |