Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Strome 46.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 51.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Strome
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Lazar
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
46.4% (371)
+2.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
43.3% (97)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
49.2% (189)
47.6% (225)
Away
48.3% (176)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
50.8%
45.4%
P2
45.2%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |