Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 83.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 51.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 68.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Lazar
Strome
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
8
Lazar
Strome
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
3
Lazar
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
1
Lazar
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
44.1% (6,839)
+6.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
49.3% (854)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
41.5% (410)
+0.4%
On even strength, Lazar has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
50.1% (1,542)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
48.9%
44.0%
P2
48.9%
45.3%
P3
49.5%
44.3%
OT
56.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |