Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Monahan 53.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 81.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Lazar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lazar
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lazar
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lazar
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
53.8% (664)
+6.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.3% (137)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
50.0% (62)
+6.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lazar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Lazar shoots right. Monahan is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Lazar
Monahan
Home
63.0% (127)
54.8% (405)
Away
51.9% (79)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Lazar
Monahan
P1
60.6%
49.6%
P2
59.7%
53.9%
P3
55.6%
55.2%
Final 5 min
67.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |