Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 71.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Lazar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Lazar
Monahan
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Lazar
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
1
Lazar
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
51.1% (11,197)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
53.6% (2,558)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
46.0% (733)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,301).
Home / Away
Lazar
Monahan
Home
50.0% (1,541)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Lazar
Monahan
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
48.8%
51.6%
P3
49.1%
51.1%
OT
56.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |