Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Monahan 52.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 78.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Lazar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lazar
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lazar
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lazar
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
53.2% (823)
+10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.3% (159)
-55.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
48.4% (95)
+7.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Lazar
Monahan
Home
63.3% (128)
54.6% (529)
Away
59.3% (118)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Lazar
Monahan
P1
64.6%
49.0%
P2
60.5%
55.4%
P3
59.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
68.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |