Cutter Gauthier vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 49.3% vs Backlund 49.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gauthier 91.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 89.5%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Gauthier
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Gauthier
Backlund
Last 10: Gauthier 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
6
Gauthier
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (110)
50.1% (891)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
53.1% (64)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
47.8% (278)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gauthier is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Gauthier shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Backlund
Home
53.1% (98)
48.1% (580)
Away
44.7% (94)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Gauthier
Backlund
P1
43.4%
45.1%
P2
54.2%
54.7%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | OT | 04:35 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |