Cutter Gauthier vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gauthier 85.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.2%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 59.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Gauthier
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Gauthier
Backlund
Last 10: Gauthier 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
6
Gauthier
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (156)
49.7% (13,410)
-5.5%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
51.6% (1,336)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.0% (2,446)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gauthier is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Gauthier shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Backlund
Home
53.3% (120)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
39.5% (129)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Gauthier
Backlund
P1
44.1%
48.5%
P2
47.4%
50.3%
P3
46.6%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | OT | 04:35 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |