Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gauthier wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 49.3% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 50.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 78.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 65.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Gauthier
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Suzuki
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (110)
51.3% (904)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
49.8% (265)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
36.8% (57)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Gauthier is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Gauthier shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Suzuki
Home
53.1% (98)
50.6% (603)
Away
44.7% (94)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Gauthier
Suzuki
P1
43.4%
52.3%
P2
54.2%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |