Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gauthier wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.3% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 89.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 67.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Gauthier
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Suzuki
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (156)
49.4% (6,327)
-5.2%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
50.7% (1,338)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
43.6% (456)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Gauthier is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Gauthier shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Suzuki
Home
53.3% (120)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
39.5% (129)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Gauthier
Suzuki
P1
44.1%
48.8%
P2
47.4%
49.1%
P3
46.6%
50.2%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |