Dakota Joshua vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +44.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 44.2% vs Pageau 58.8% (-44.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 82.0%
Defensive zone
Joshua 64.0%
Neutral zone
Joshua 79.8%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Joshua
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Joshua
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
18.8% (16)
59.1% (687)
-40.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
69.4% (36)
-69.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
60.1% (213)
-60.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +69.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Joshua is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Joshua shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Joshua
Pageau
Home
27.3% (11)
57.8% (377)
Away
0.0% (9)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Joshua
Pageau
P1
20.0%
54.1%
P2
0.0%
62.1%
P3
33.3%
61.8%
Final 5 min
0.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
15.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |