Dakota Joshua vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 50.5% vs Pageau 54.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 83.2%
Defensive zone
Joshua 52.0%
Neutral zone
Joshua 71.4%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Joshua
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Joshua
Pageau
Last 9: Joshua 3-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Joshua
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Joshua
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (288)
55.7% (9,486)
-4.0%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
57.0% (1,002)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
49.6% (2,069)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Joshua is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Joshua shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Joshua
Pageau
Home
48.3% (149)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
52.7% (167)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Joshua
Pageau
P1
55.6%
54.6%
P2
44.2%
56.3%
P3
52.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
50.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |