Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Joshua wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.0% vs McTavish 43.3% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 75.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.5%
Neutral zone
Joshua 51.1%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Joshua
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Joshua
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
1
0
Joshua
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (36)
42.4% (675)
+7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
40.5% (42)
+59.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (8)
-16.7%
On power play, Joshua has a +59.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Joshua is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Joshua shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Joshua
McTavish
Home
76.5% (17)
41.9% (372)
Away
38.5% (26)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Joshua
McTavish
P1
50.0%
47.2%
P2
58.8%
36.2%
P3
50.0%
43.6%
Final 5 min
16.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |