Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.4% vs McTavish 50.6% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Joshua 50.9%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Joshua
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (37)
51.1% (769)
+3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.6% (178)
+49.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On power play, Joshua has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Joshua is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Joshua shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Joshua
McTavish
Home
57.1% (28)
52.3% (461)
Away
50.0% (14)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Joshua
McTavish
P1
52.9%
51.5%
P2
27.3%
54.0%
P3
78.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%