Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Joshua wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.0% vs Steel 48.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 63.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.6%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Joshua
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Joshua
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
1
0
Joshua
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (36)
49.5% (553)
+0.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
61.3% (31)
+38.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
30.6% (49)
+2.7%
On power play, Joshua has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Joshua is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Joshua shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Joshua
Steel
Home
76.5% (17)
46.4% (347)
Away
38.5% (26)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Joshua
Steel
P1
50.0%
52.1%
P2
58.8%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
16.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |