Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.2%). Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 50.5% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 53.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 57.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Joshua
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Joshua
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
1
0
Joshua
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (288)
50.6% (2,876)
+1.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
62.6% (179)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
37.4% (254)
-12.4%
On power play, Joshua has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Joshua is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Joshua shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Joshua
Steel
Home
48.3% (149)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
52.7% (167)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Joshua
Steel
P1
55.6%
51.9%
P2
44.2%
49.5%
P3
52.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
50.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |