Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Barron 47.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 75.2%
Defensive zone
Barron 79.8%
Neutral zone
Yurov 53.6%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Yurov
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Yurov
Barron
Last 5: Yurov 2-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Yurov
Barron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Yurov
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
1
Yurov
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
48.8% (371)
-9.2%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
33.3% (3)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
42.0% (174)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Yurov shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Yurov
Barron
Home
43.1% (332)
44.9% (283)
Away
34.9% (315)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Yurov
Barron
P1
37.5%
44.8%
P2
38.1%
50.7%
P3
41.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
40.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |