Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Barron 48.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 72.6%
Defensive zone
Barron 70.5%
Neutral zone
Yurov 52.4%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Yurov
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Yurov
Barron
Last 5: Yurov 2-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Yurov
Barron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Yurov
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
1
Yurov
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
49.5% (731)
-9.9%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
50.0% (6)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
42.6% (209)
-17.6%
On power play, Barron has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Yurov shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Yurov
Barron
Home
43.1% (332)
45.5% (457)
Away
34.9% (315)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Yurov
Barron
P1
37.5%
47.6%
P2
38.1%
51.3%
P3
41.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |